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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225550

Oviedo VS Las Palmas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.90%
Draw
24.96%
Away
21.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9747
Log loss
1.5540

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
0f8d16d32da92e6a3a61dd1b9a6651454b775fdf30f432f7a12512461e615027

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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