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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225500

Almudévar VS Andorra CF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.98%
Draw
27.33%
Away
27.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4541
Log loss
0.7990

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
58e5b8ed0a71d005f4e02c974a2b3cd55689fd04b5a18e00ef37c74321889fa1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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