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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225499

Pontevedra II VS Antela

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.52%
Draw
28.22%
Away
28.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4785
Log loss
0.8319

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
e4d763dbe4eda5a06d507382905440a882dc8bf1bc194d44fa2f176d401629d0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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