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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225477

Celoricense VS Rebordosa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.69%
Draw
28.50%
Away
36.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7671
Log loss
1.2554

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
82bda30e4c2ed554b4df1cb64d36dfd223693b29dc8e450dc5fab9ac242c6245

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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