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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225435

Mouloudia Oujda VS Chabab Atl. Khenifra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.79%
Draw
26.46%
Away
24.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3935
Log loss
0.7176

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
72bc2e495127dc522bb51cc0d9156bf36227284ded6a62b3026598073efb3090

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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