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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225406

Hemmingen VS Nordhorn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.79%
Draw
21.94%
Away
38.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9141
Log loss
1.5169

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
6c63cb284bc36ca7845f33fe248424bdcc109471fbc0dcdbcbb4f68cc4aab164

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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