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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225399

RUS Binche VS Stockay-Warfusée

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.16%
Draw
23.57%
Away
30.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4371
Log loss
0.7731

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
53ec6d5489a7aa1d4b232bbaa5e0d485cdb82fd8c50ea25126f8d71d37985947

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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