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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225354

Teramo VS Lanciano FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.80%
Draw
18.94%
Away
15.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1761
Log loss
0.4186

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
e7b042a9ea75763eb5374ceb37f0bedfb517c8fc47fef4dd626d43f19f36de92

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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