Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #225297

Villa Valle VS Brusaporto

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.88%
Draw
28.38%
Away
30.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5246
Log loss
0.8945

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
45640674741a6287b01f8c5de3746bb34309286b62b80318460166a1028ac455

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →