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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225291

Biellese VS Millesimo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.60%
Draw
23.08%
Away
16.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2352
Log loss
0.5010

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
687d1aef8d7222bd24dd0ae8bc106d255a97215fb7fd8b3ba935c7dc1e71e87d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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