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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225252

Pelopas Kiatou VS Panthyreatikos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.48%
Draw
22.19%
Away
15.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2135
Log loss
0.4703

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
500a14dd27aec18205d6e24847916b8014c83e722d8a4e7684e8ab917057e49d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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