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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225247

Asteras Amaliadas VS Loutraki

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.07%
Draw
27.51%
Away
39.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5519
Log loss
0.9307

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
4766b55037d1bf599a52db8771b2973e45e6ac1b76f07e220dcb3fdbbed041d2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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