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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225187

Velká Bíteš VS Bystrc Kníničky

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.47%
Draw
14.76%
Away
8.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
1.4388
Log loss
2.4338

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
6bfcf8dae79831c52928fc83894eed1debe0697b731b6f36ca23174537b0e1bb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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