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Frozen pre-match forecast · #225127

Genclerbirligi U19 VS Alanyaspor U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.03%
Draw
25.00%
Away
21.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3314
Log loss
0.6343

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
ab0e574a0d16f611cab3030e81396d5b49994cb4d976e5674ab85ed431dd892c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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