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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224916

Rača VS Púchov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.04%
Draw
21.24%
Away
62.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 890-minute result
Brier score
0.2099
Log loss
0.4665

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
ab7a384f7273f99640d5a9653e044c8cb4ef7697b7aa26a444451cc620e73ee5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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