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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224860

Liniers VS Ituzaingó

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.45%
Draw
21.78%
Away
10.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1650
Log loss
0.3938

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
5af3289bd4baae3225b4ff6734bf3940fa25f8de21a21605b925a958ea70bf1b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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