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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224851

All Boys VS CA Estudiantes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.87%
Draw
32.95%
Away
36.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7174
Log loss
1.1754

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
f115afbd5a6424fd88c044d275f51f3031c49f3ae22d3927ae9ea8a5edb0dccb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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