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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224840

Crvena Zvezda U18 VS Usce U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
81.16%
Draw
11.26%
Away
7.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0539
Log loss
0.2087

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
344de311c2642ab0232acbc3102d15228bc8ed5cb576aa763480dceec7b0246a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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