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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224832

Kolos Kovalivka II VS Metal Kharkiv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.93%
Draw
28.38%
Away
40.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5280
Log loss
0.8992

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
732aa1deab3a1e2252b9931b4631a73af68f2f7637c4a2091a44f9dcb0e8cd0b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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