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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224793

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb VS NK Osijek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.31%
Draw
25.97%
Away
37.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5872
Log loss
0.9750

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
4951ba638c5e411d0819b37048edd9dda6b6074807e3ee1fab22cee56370fceb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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