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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224777

Skyy VS Ebiemo FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.00%
Draw
26.17%
Away
16.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2817
Log loss
0.5621

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
a02f3c13232a442250693c833443defaf6a71fbe62814bcc16cbcf5db448f0d9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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