Frozen pre-match forecast · #224746
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 52.90%
- Draw
- 24.21%
- Away
- 22.90%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3329
- Log loss
- 0.6369
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 01 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
- SHA-256
- 47ee5438df233ef83be9eb19d5db7d6ddb1aea91432b98999a105b6afbd051f7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.