Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #224729

Maccabi Ashdod VS Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:50 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.75%
Draw
26.24%
Away
31.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8229
Log loss
1.3378

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
65363fb663e606cd173e48cb5309d0f72b88afdc46e834f4c7b0e37f4910f77f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →