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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224711

Lyngby VS Randers FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.00%
Draw
22.79%
Away
43.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6742
Log loss
1.0788

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
1ef46d827ac9c7007349bbc6d9c961af66643ae44683936a70884c9be5d510a0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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