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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224710

Fethiyespor VS Eyüpspor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.37%
Draw
25.73%
Away
39.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5455
Log loss
0.9188

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
5994968d231ab83862159094c8f9ad467edd3e51e7e6e660f7c55ad23609451a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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