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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224626

Eastbourne Borough VS Stanway Rovers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
84.16%
Draw
10.77%
Away
5.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0393
Log loss
0.1725

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
bd22b9acf4cb799db7280ba2af0bc1da719cce242c626255fc6be7f936cdcefc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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