Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #224614

Sparta Praha II VS Viktoria Plzeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 09:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.51%
Draw
24.30%
Away
36.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6222
Log loss
1.0162

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
d1e4da130c9701a91b87a6d4dba77fe5ab0034a66872722932b096aba96a0186

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →