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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224580

Häcken W VS Kristianstad W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.09%
Draw
18.15%
Away
11.75%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1362
Log loss
0.3553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
9c6aa227fe2eac6f0b49fcf61e56b591f7edc7f8bf3d4f9baf481d651fe95f48

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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