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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224550

Génération Foot VS La Linguère

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.28%
Draw
32.10%
Away
20.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7271
Log loss
1.1363

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
cca91967454b8b92dbad30882bea083182f0fbb5e8e740e85d4d2c9bd3747d3a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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