Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #224520

Dallas Trinity W VS Fort Lauderdale United W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 04:04 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.77%
Draw
21.31%
Away
16.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2201
Log loss
0.4817

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 04:04 UTC
SHA-256
6510455ab7e2466c9cb3327be21eb13c3b29b92c846febc3460104d0fc7f3c4b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →