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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224496

Borac Cacak VS Semendrija 1924

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 04:04 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.41%
Draw
25.62%
Away
26.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4149
Log loss
0.7463

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 04:04 UTC
SHA-256
7995bba49df76e29d0547d8f1644c2181ff2e4bde1599da47569f7a81aac0989

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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