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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224473

Uppsala W VS Hammarby W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 04:03 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.27%
Draw
1.66%
Away
98.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 790-minute result
Brier score
0.0007
Log loss
0.0195

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 04:03 UTC
SHA-256
cbe2a8e2bfc3503c20d41cfb025cfc9b5c5c757f5e1a23ffa08f89a4dad8332d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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