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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22421

Enskede W VS KIF Örebro W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.46%
Draw
17.84%
Away
62.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2088
Log loss
0.4668

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:40 UTC
SHA-256
f9bc4e37443718ad4a81fc3931b5aa07d9aeb555c1e16d8b27fecc5290545fd7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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