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Frozen pre-match forecast · #224144

Radcliffe VS Marine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 16:03 UTC
Match kickoff
14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.66%
Draw
23.06%
Away
51.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 16:03 UTC
SHA-256
e0af204b3363ac5ab4c57f8d24d3e502bc061329ca507ff4186e4471a3008d8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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