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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22369

Slovan Liberec II VS Benátky nad Jizerou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.00%
Draw
20.72%
Away
54.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3145
Log loss
0.6110

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:39 UTC
SHA-256
b91af51b1294c12021bdbed96fbb6e0357f074520c16bfb1947fc90da109230b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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