Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #223608

Inter Club d'Escaldes VS Penya Encarnada

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
82.75%
Draw
12.11%
Away
5.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.4598
Log loss
2.1112

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 13:02 UTC
SHA-256
091a7c2b2aa2b8100f271cc8a15b1df2e0a9b53767e899abe741fa0e73ba5f08

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →