Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #223604

RUS Binche VS Stockay-Warfusée

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.16%
Draw
23.57%
Away
30.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4371
Log loss
0.7731

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 13:02 UTC
SHA-256
1421d2a652a5535f15fb671023b05ff27233da8aa264c271e85f1f7da047c371

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →