Frozen pre-match forecast · #223346
Nigeria U17 W VS Venezuela U17 W
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 52.38%
- Draw
- 26.54%
- Away
- 21.08%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.3416
- Log loss
- 0.6466
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- SHA-256
- 6288e67d93e4e7a0248be60dcb5de23624279ec855526e94bebc3f7d93897f01
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.