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Frozen pre-match forecast · #223339

AJEL VS Diambars

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.89%
Draw
27.56%
Away
13.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8899
Log loss
1.2888

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
4b675138b942fe4c39d312a83fc2ee1335de91573e371797235682e65ae4b87f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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