Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #223336

Ghana U17 W VS Japan U17 W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.59%
Draw
22.32%
Away
60.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2401
Log loss
0.5094

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
0498b7c3d8f11c084d7723513adeff67e7df82436298fc8bb8729e0bbffe93fa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →