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Frozen pre-match forecast · #223303

Bakaridjan VS Afrique Football Élite

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.94%
Draw
29.29%
Away
30.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5412
Log loss
0.9178

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
53799848ee0ca7303f1ab62c153d618909aae07d0d509235b3550036ed5a5646

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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