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Frozen pre-match forecast · #223214

USM Annaba VS JS Jijel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.96%
Draw
25.40%
Away
14.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9375
Log loss
1.3704

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
8e5ac305eb2cc82f31efeb306c35913bc2b49ba1a2f2ea9f632d4f4ac77e6afb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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