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Frozen pre-match forecast · #223193

Al Jazira VS Khaitan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.39%
Draw
24.81%
Away
27.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8672
Log loss
1.3939

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
6ee1051930596a267d0e21d81d2a017fd69eee2c84a23de351e1b1c74234e031

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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