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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222924

Newroz VS Karbala

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.03%
Draw
20.66%
Away
10.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
8f51f0aa0ad22e3d8706fe467e532c8269c50006392e1c1b7255407017efd92a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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