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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222786

Universitatea Craiova VS Egnatia Rrogozhinë

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.09%
Draw
20.66%
Away
14.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1849
Log loss
0.4294

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
5358b953f04b046b0bddc3f41b50235e4d620f9df1cc5e245f60a10a1050aed3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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