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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222773

Celtic VS Beşiktaş

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.20%
Draw
24.65%
Away
42.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6846
Log loss
1.1026

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
725c05251508546ea6314314a83d91f87af538c9005f40f14866861d734eb82d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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