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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222668

ISCA VS ASEC Mimosas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.24%
Draw
28.55%
Away
50.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8077
Log loss
1.2535

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
69851847f4b424b4f3953465f4480e29e176cf2178fe5e0d3f85949d6f1eab42

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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