Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #222626

Žilina U19 VS HJK U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.27%
Draw
23.84%
Away
37.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8700
Log loss
1.4337

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
22a2a4ad06d0e904393e8fe99a721510f6fc89cbaf8e6865382714cd45bc1294

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →