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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222623

Kairat U19 VS MTK U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
82.66%
Draw
10.41%
Away
6.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.4907
Log loss
2.2624

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
e672686749617ef194e69b7e83bc637dbe11519ea0c2a70aa082e0c6fbdd0ee2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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