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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222596

Al Bidda SC VS Muaither SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.97%
Draw
25.25%
Away
43.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7319
Log loss
1.1722

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
34b7484efca7d92a1aca61caff7b700e9abdd710984e5df433c803aff1e04f9f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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